WEEK 4 STAR SELECTIONS

PHENOMENAL STAR SELECTIONS:

Well what a third week that was with Focus, Sean O Connor (Number 4) and Chris “Git” “Killo” O Connor in Miami for arguably 2 of the best games of the week (Dolphins vs Raiders and Steelers vs Bucs).  Nice few bets coming through with the Dolphins and the over.  unfortunately for Chris he was all over the very dissapointing Raiders who couldnt finish a sentence!!!!!!!

Sean with the picture in the stadium. That pretty person in the middle is MMEEEEE

Horrible week for some with Furlong getting 1 point, number 4 getting 6 points, Just Pay with 7, Sean Newcombe with 8 and both Clancy’s with 10……..do these guys realise that Focus beat all of them with 1 pick the mighty Dolphins!! Speaking of the Dolphins they saved Ciaran from a Duck Egg.  I thought Greg did pretty well with 14 points well its good for him. Personally i had 18 points which was good considering all the bad luck i had with some of my picks, Chargers with 3 opportunities for a back door score and a back door cover for 5 points and the same goes for my 8 pointer in the Bucs who had the ball at the 5 yard line 3 times and got field goal, field goal, Fumble.  If any of these go in for a TD the Bucs cover and win.  Financially it worked out for Focus again as he picked up another 100+ euro from Just Pay as he lost most of his picks and gave more euros to Focus.  At the moment Focus is 3-0 and JP is 0-3.  Balance stands at €332.50 and at this rate we…. I will be into 4 figures in no time.

Anyway enough of my bad luck from week 3 lets look forward to week 4.  I know you all are logging on to see the next batch of Sunday Star Selections to make money from me and as always YOU ARE WELCOME!!

PHENOMENAL FOCUS  2018 WEEK 4 NFL STAR SELECTIONS:

vs
Baltimore Ravens (2-1)
at Pittsburgh Steelers (1-1-1)

MY 5 Star selection for this week is the Ravens away to the Steelers. Well its time to start using statistics to support my picks now as instincts are never enough. These NFC North battles are normally won by the defense……yes big Ben and Flacco can score with there respective offenses as seen over the first 3 weeks but this game is going to be won by the defense of one of the teams and lets be clear about this: i believe the spread is favoured in the wrong direction YES YES YES this should be Ravens minus 4 and do you know what i would still take them at that.  In relation to the defense deciding the game lets look at the comparason alalysis that i have done

Total Yards Per Game Allowed:                        Ravens 273 
                                                                                Steelers 410.3

 

Passing Yards Per Game Allowed:                  Ravens 169.3                                                         
                                                                               Steelers 288
Rush Yards Per Game Allowed:                      Ravens 103.7                                                        
                                                                               Steelers 122.3
Points Per Game Allowed:                               Ravens 17                                                      
                                                                              Steelers  30
Third Down Conversion % Allowed:             Ravens 31                                                       
                                                                             Steelers 31.2
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In Summary the Ravens are the better defense in every category EVERY SINGLE ONE and yet there getting points.  The Steelers allow more rush and pass yard, allow more points per game and statistically allow more 3rd down conversions.  In addition looking at NFL.com C.J. Mosley practiced both Wednesday and Thursday and It sounds like he’s going to play, which is huge. On a normal day i would be backing the Ravens on the flat with the current defense and on top of everything the best Linebacker in the league is returning to the line up.  Finally with being able to use the statistical information available on NFL.com i see the Ravens winning on the flat in a season ending performance by the steelers. Ravens take control of the division today.

Ravens win 31-21

 

vs
Seattle Seahawks (1-2) at Arizona Cardinals (0-3)

My 4 star selection is the hawks away to the Cardinals.  In the battle of the birds there is only one that will be flying high after tonight as the Cardinals 2018 season is sealed with an embarrasing loss at home to the Hawks. OK to be honest both of these teams are pedestrian to say the least however the Hawks were somewhat competent last week vs a good Cowboys team and won by 11.  The Cardinals on the other hand have been terrible and deserve to be 0&3.  The big difference in this matchup is the QB position and with Wilson being so elusive and Bradford being so CRAP.  Yes there not great teams and maybe there are better games out there but after my indepth analysis of the offensive and defensive comparison i have to put these guys in as my 4 star selection and below details it quite clearly.

DEFENSIVE COMPARISON:

Total Yards Per Game Allowed:                        Seattle Seahawks 348
                                                                                Arizona Cardinals 392.3
Passing Yards Per Game Allowed:                  Seattle Seahawks 215                                                         
                                                                               Arizona Cardinals 261
Rush Yards Per Game Allowed:                      Seattle Seahawks 132                                                       
                                                                               Arizona Cardinals 131
Points Per Game Allowed:                               Seattle Seahawks 21                                                    
                                                                              Arizona Cardinals 25
Third Down Conversion % Allowed:             Seattle Seahawks 32                                                       
                                                                             Arizona Cardinals 45

OFFENSIVE COMPARISON:

 Total Yards Per Game:                                    Seattle Seahawks 292
                                                                             Arizona Cardinals 190

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Passing Yards Per Game:                                Seattle Seahawks 208
                                                                             Arizona Cardinals 132

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Rush Yards Per Game:                                    Seattle Seahawks 84
                                                                            Arizona Cardinals 58

 

Points Per Game:                                             Seattle Seahawks 22
                                                                            Arizona Cardinals 6.7

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Third Down Conversion %:                            Seattle Seahawks 34
                                                                            Arizona Cardinals 23

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  • Again in Summary this is a no brainer as defensively the Hawks allow less pass and Rush yards, allow less points and third down conversions and will win in a dominating performance.  If it was only a defensive comparison favourable for the Hawks i would bet them. WELL the offensive comparison is more attractive for the hawks as they gain more than 100 yards per game than the Cardinals and amazingly score 16 points per game more>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>16

Another easy pick guys as i have the hawks winning by 20+ points

Hawks win 34-13

vs
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-1) at Chicago Bears (2-1)

My 3 star selection is the bears at home to the Bucs.  I was in Tampa Bay last week and although they scored 27 points vs a poor Steeler team the scoreline was a little inflated as the steerles were up by 20 in the first half and effectively played out the game. Was it close, maybe but i was there and it seemed as though the BUCS couldnt finish it off vs a really poor defensive team and now this week there up against arguably the best defense in the league in the Bears. I’m not sure if Trubisky can do it, but he has a good chance to play well in this game. Tampa’s pass defense is atrocious, so that bodes well for the Bears. Meanwhile, the Buccaneers have assembled a 2-1 record via smoke and mirrors. They’ve been in two favorable situations to start the year, and it was no fluke that a mediocre Pittsburgh squad had a 30-10 lead at halftime in Tampa. That was the beginning of the end for the Buccaneers. The house of cards is crashing down, as the spectre of Jameis Winston looms over Fitzpatrick.

And yet, this spread is three. I don’t understand why. I think Chicago should be favored by 5.5 at the very least, and I think that might even be a low estimate. I think if we look back in 10 weeks, we might all agree that this line should’ve been -6.5 or higher.  I can see a lot of you getting trapped in this game as the smoke is still clouding your judgement “But Focus the BUCS have scored 48 vs the Saints, 27 vs the Eagles and 27 vs the Steelers” YEAH but all of those defenses are abissmal.  Ill go so far as to say the BUCS will be LUCKY to get into double figures vs the Bears.  I mean these BEARS should be 3&0 if it wasnt for an unbelievable comeback by A—-Aron.

Excluding the quarterback position, the Bears have a top-five NFL roster. Their defense, offensive line and running game are all outstanding, while their receiving corps is above average. Trubisky needs to put some points on the board especially with the favourable positions that his defense puts him into.  Like i have detailed above the BUCS are a complete FAKE and will be found out tonight.

Bears win 34-9

vs
Detroit Lions (1-2) at Dallas Cowboys (1-2)

My 2 star selection is the Cowboys at home to the Lions.  Ok again i see this as a huge trap game with a lot of you on the Lions which have done nothing this year except for there superbowl winning performance last week vs a depleted Patriots team.  The big difference is the Lions are now away vs Americas team who have a very competent QB, one of the best running backs in the league in ZEEK and a very potent receiving corps.  “Well Focus How are the cowboys 1&2” its very simple guys they have gone up against 3 very good, phenomenal infact defenses.  The Panthers are obviously outstanding in their front seven, while the Seahawks were much better with Bobby Wagner on the field. The Giants’ defense is the worst of the trio, but it’s definitely not a bad unit so what does this mean WELL the Cowboys have had a tough start to the season but finally the team to piss all over has arrived as the Lions definitely have a miserable defense. Their linebackers, in particular, are atrocious. I expect Ezekiel Elliott to have a huge game, both as a runner and a receiver out of the backfield.

Both of these teams are 1&2 but i have the Lions as so much worse.  On top of all the above the line is way off i mean -3 YOU HAVE GOTTA BE FUCKIN KIDDING ME but hey im delighted.  OK so the Lions beat the Patriots WOW they beat them in name only as they Pats had nobody on the field to play, No receivers, No Running backs etc. Anyone can win on a Sunday i get that but anyone can especially win when there is nothing in front of them.  Thats the case this week as the Cowboys get there “Feel good” game early as they absolutely destroy the Lions.  My analysis leads me to the conclusion that this will be a 2 score victory and an easy one at that as it will probably be 3 scores with a back door touchdown to make it 2 scores.
Cowboys win  30-17

 vs
Cincinnati Bengals (2-1) at Atlanta Falcons (1-2)

Last but by no means least my 1 star selection is the Bengals away to the Falcons.  Maybe the Bengals are the real deal this year but my only fear is the division there in is so competitive this year even with the Browns. That being said lets get back to the matchup.  The Falcons defense is Atrocious and we are asking the Bengals QB to keep it within 6 points.  Dont get me wrong i dont see the Bengals winning the game but i do see a comfortable cover with the game being played out with the cover in place. Im going to keep this part of the post short and sweet.  These teams are even and if your giving 3 to the home team well ten fair enough but its 6.  Im asking Andy Dalton to keep this game within 6 points YES PLEASE.

Close contest but the cover comes in.

Falcons win 34-31

FOCUS FINAL THOUGHTS FOR WEEK 4:

I think the Titans are another good selection, the Chargers, the Saints, the Broncos and the Raiders.   I see myself having another good week and am predicting 15 out of 15 stars to increase my winning percentage from 66% to 83%.  More importantly im predicting another abissmal week for JP and Seanny as these trap games i mentioned i know these guys will go for them.  More money for Focus………….

Stacks from JP

As always YOU ARE WELCOME!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

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