WEEK 14/15 RECAP AND FOCUS STAYS ON TOP:
Well not the best of weeks last week with the highest score being 29 from the foot of the table Greg so doesnt really make a difference anyway!!!! It was hilarious that Greg didnt even realise he had a double week to use……”no no no he says i used that in Australia” but thats what happens when you dont pay attention to the 2 most important aspects of picking NFL games against the spread:
1: Remember to do your picks……………….ROSS and 2 log onto phenomenalfocuspicks,com!!!! Yes i lost in the heads up battle with JP last week by 1 point and again some unbelievable luck was had in the process for JP. All ill say on the matter is how lucky were the patriots!!!!!!!! Focus had another solid performance with 21 and is happy to take that in order to secure another NFL ATS championship.Its gotto be said Ross “forgot” to do his picks twice this year and scored 4 and 12 points respectively and is only 36 points behind……where would he be if he just remebered to do his picks…………no no no not first but maybe second!!!!!!!!!
Anyway lets get to this weeks NFL selections as that is why you are all logging on to read.
PHENOMENAL FOCUS WEEK 16 NFL STAR SELECTIONS:
Denver Broncos (5-9) at Washington Redskins (6-8)
MY 5 Star selection for this week is the Redskins at home to the Broncos. First of all, this spread is too short. I have Washington -10 over the Broncos. The Redskins are a solid team that has endured an extremely difficult schedule this year. They’ve also had bad luck with in-game injuries. For instance, they outgained the Cowboys and averaged more yards per play a few weeks ago, but lost because of several mistakes. Second i love betting against Osweiler when the spread is a field goal or less. Osweiler has yet to cover a spread this year as a starter. He played well against the Colts, but this is a big step up for him, and there’s no reason to expect him to succeed. Finally Osweiler won vs the Colts last week but it was more like the Colts imploding rather than good play from the Broncos, i think there offense is pedestrian and the defense has given up at this late stage of the season. I see all there veteren players treating this game like a probowl and not really putting in maximum effort. The Redskins on the other hand have a young team with a lot to prove. Easy pick for me this week as the spread is just way off the boundary……….
Skins win 27-13
Los Angeles Chargers (7-7) at New York Jets (5-9)
My 4 star selection is the Chargers away to the Jets. How and why is this spread only 6 points?????? I have this spread as Chargers -13/14. The Chargers’ elite defense has taken on two terrible quarterbacks this season: Nathan J. Peterman and DeShone Kizer. Those two players posted a combined 17 points and seven turnovers in six quarters of action. Petty will be the third terrible quarterback the Chargers will be battling this year. And I expect things to get just as ugly. The Jets had a super lucky cover at New Orleans last week – the Saints had two touchdowns overturned by replay and two lost fumbles inside the red zone – so unless the Jets have the same sort of great fortune in this game, I can’t see them covering. The Chargers are one of the best teams in the league and the Jets are one of the worst. The Jets are stricken with poor cornerbacks who won’t be able to cover Rivers’ receivers. With plenty of time in the pocket, Rivers should be able to connect with them quite frequently. I see Rivers scoring 5+ touchdowns with his offense and Jets will be lucky to get into double figures. I see defensive touchdowns and turnovers for the charger defense also.
Chargers win 41-9
Seattle Seahawks (8-6) at Dallas Cowboys (8-6)
My 3 star selection is the hawks away to the Cowboys. I don’t understand this spread at all as i have it at -3 to the other side!!!!!! The wrong team is favored, as the Seahawks are much better than the Cowboys. Their defense is much better and Wilson is an elite QB will DAK is not. Seattle’s scoring attack is so much better because of the quarterback play. Wilson has shown that he can will his team to victory against elite competition, while Dak needs a solid running game to open up the passing lanes but the problem here for the Cowboys is they will hit a brick wall in the running game and Dak will force some bad throws. The Cowboys are just an average team and in the last 3 weeks struggled to beat the Raiders and Giants,infact they should have lost last week if Derek Carr just held onto the ball 6 inches from the line with 28 seconds to go. The last time the cowboys faced elite competition the lost by over 20 points vs the chargers on Thanksgiving day…………..wait a minute Focus predicted that one also!!!!!!! Seattle faced superbowl contenders in the last 2 weeks (Rams and Jags) but will have an easier run of it tonight. Surprise win for some of you but like i said the wrong side is favoured in this matchup and Russel wilson will have a big game
Hawks win 27-17 getting points!!
New York Giants (2-12) at Arizona Cardinals (6-8)
Detroit Lions (8-6) at Cincinnati Bengals (5-9)
Last but by no means least my 1 star selection is the Bengals at home vs the Lions. The Bengals have been blown out twice since losing their “Super Bowl” to the Steelers on Monday Night Football. They haven’t looked motivated, but such things are always temporary for teams because players are always trying to get new contracts and I think the Bengals will show better effort in this contest. The other factor during the two losses has been Burfict’s absence. Burfict is Cincinnati’s version of Kuechly (Panthers or Lee Cowboys). The Bengals need Burfict to be on the field to have a functional defense and he is playing, he’s worth at least three points, as far as I’m concerned. This spread should be flat soim getting great value here with the home team. . I’m sure there will be some comments from JP, Ross and “Stats Sean” about football being a team game, yadda yadda, but we’ve seen the severe impact the absences of these star linebackers have had on their teams. The lions on the other hand are a bit of a fake this year. The Lions are suddenly four-point road favorites against the Bengals. But, why? Check out their previous four victories: They beat the Bears, who self-destructed with 13 penalties; they squeaked the Buccaneers by three; they snuck by the Bears by only three even though Chicago was missing Danny Trevathan; and they beat the Browns by 14, but were trailing in the third quarter. During that span, Baltimore slaughtered them, 44-20. They move the chains a lot with Stafford having a good performance and time in the pocket but will find himself in horizontal mode tonight!!!
Bengals win 27-24 getting points!!
FOCUS FINAL THOUGHTS FOR WEEK 16:
Other notables are the Bucs (10), the Browns +7 and the Patriots -12. Ill make a final decision tomorrow but these will be my picks. Remember i release these picks at 5:30 every Sunday so be sure to log in as i dont always remember to remind you guys. I see a lot of you this week getting trapped by picking the Jags and the 49ers. I dont like either game and reckon there could be upsets on the horizon!!!!!!!!!
No other Final thoughts needed guys as its sticking to basics and my own analysis. Good luck coaches