WEEK 11 RECAP AND THANKSGIVING:
Well good weeks all round last week with the LOWEST score being 19 by coach Gary. Its getting to the business end of the season and we are still waiting on double weeks from 3 coaches…….when will they pull the trigger??……..will it be too late anyway??……..quite possibly!!!!!
Thanksgiving day games are fresh in the mind so lets start there. Well focus and Ace went 100% and you cant say i didnt try to help because in the spirit of being thankful i decided to give you my picks detailed on whatsapp:
FOCUS PREDICTS 100% 1 HOUR BEFORE KICK OFF
COMPLIMENT FROM SEAN WELL THATS NEW BUT HONOURABLE
JP HAS 2 PREDICTIONS ON THE DAY AND IF YOU WERE LIKE ME AND DID THE EXACT OPPOSITE YOU MAKE LOADS OF MONEY………JUST LIKE FOCUS. (JP says “LIONS/UNDER”….NAILED VIKINGS/OVER, JP says “COWBOYS/OVER”…..NAILED CHARGERS/UNDER!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Uniformed opinion from Rosco “Elliot wouldnt have helped” Naive juvenile opinion from an uniformed coach. As i have stated in the last 2 posts the cowboys without Elliot is like the patriots without Brady. Elliot is the best running back in the league and when he is playing the primary goal of any defense is to stop him and what that does is open up the passing game for Dak with 1 on 1 coverage on the outside and with Dez Bryant and Jason witten there to pick you apart……results are aparent. In order to stop Elliot you need to load up the box which creates this 1 on 1 coverage but the other night vs the chargers and elliot being suspended they were able to double coverage both Jason and Dez who was held to 3 catches and 37 yards!!!!! Anyway enough of me going on about the past you guys are logging on to see were money can be made this week well let me get to that for you.
PHENOMENAL FOCUS WEEK 12 NFL STAR SELECTIONS:
Buffalo Bills (5-5) at Kansas City Chiefs (6-4)
MY 5 Star selection for this week is the bills away to the chiefs. I don’t understand this spread at all. This line is 5.5 points off from where it was against the Chargers, as Buffalo was +4.5 last week when it was assumed Taylor would be the quarterback. This is saying that the Chiefs are 5.5 points better than the Chargers, which is simply untrue! Those teams are about even, so by that logic, this line is 5.5 points off from where it should be. My line is actually closer to Bills +3. Buffalo and Kansas City are close in my rankings so I think we are getting unbelievable value with the visitor. I also dont think that the bills can be as bad as they were last week vs the chargers, now i know i had the chargers last week vs the bills but again i thought the handicap was way off which is definetley the case in this matchup. I know in my previous 2 posts in relation to the bills i said they wouldnt win another game for 5 weeks (2 weeks ago) and im still standing by that i just dont see the chiefs winning by more than a touchdown.
Chiefs win 24-21
Seattle Seahawks (6-4) at San Francisco 49ers (1-9)
My 4 star selection is the hawks away to the niners. Again i was in the car with Ace Clancy this week and we were going through the spreads and i said hawks -12 and too my amazement they were only a touchdown. I know this is an inter divisional game but i think the seahawks will get hot in this game and to boost there confidence will win by 2 scores.
Seattle’s favored by a touchdown and all of you other coaches will think thats a high number for a divisional game away and at first glance you guys might think this but here’s why Focus doesnt buy in this position…………The disparity between the two quarterbacks in this contest is staggering. Wilson is a top-five NFL signal-caller, while Beathard is one of the league’s worst players at the position. And it’s not like San Francisco is any better in other areas! Like ive said i think the Seahawks will bounce back from Monday night’s defeat, and it’s not like they’ll be playing in a hostile environment. In fact, there might be more Seahawk fans at this game than 49er supporters! Based on this result that im posting i might even change it to my 5 star pick. I know i havent mentioned anything positive about the 49ers and why…………………….. well there is none!!!!!!!
Hawks win 33-13
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-6) at Atlanta Falcons (6-4)
My 3 star selection is the Falcons at home vs the Bucs. This spread is just 9 and it is nowhere near high enough. The Falcons looked phenomenal last week vs the seahawks and Ryan was absolutely unstoppable scoring loads of points everytime he touched the ball. If he beat the hawks by 20+ what is he going to do vs the Bucs!!!!! The Falcons are getting to the business end of the season and have a very balanced offense so no defense knows what they are going to do with the football which makes them very dangerous. They are 12th in points, 9th in yardage, 13th in pass yards and 14th in rushing…………………………………………………… very balanced indeed.
Defensively they are top 10 in every category with them only struggling vs the rush. Is this going to be a problem????????????? well NO because the Bucs are the 3rd WORST rushing team in the league. The Bucs are also the 2nd WORST team in the league vs the pass defensively and the only elite passing QB they have faced in the last few weeks was Drew Brees and he put up 30 points in the first half!!!! This is going to be a big scoring game for the Falcons and look at Ryan having a ton of yardage.
Falcons win 45-13
Carolina Panthers (7-3) at New York Jets (4-6)
Chicago Bears (3-7) at Philadelphia Eagles (9-1)
Last but by no means least my 1 star selection is the Eagles at home to the Bears. With getting all my thanksgiving day selections correct there was not many games to choose from and i bounced around from Broncos +5 to titans -3 and even the Bengals but thought lets back a team that is a superbowl contender and can cover a high spread comfortably at home. I even contemplated the Dolphins because of the high spread of 17 but hey landed on the philadelphia Eagles. This could go 1 of 2 ways as we are getting to the end of regulation.The Eagles score loads of points in the 1st half and rest there starters going into the second (Most likely) or the bears attempt to run the ball and keep it close and by close i mean in relation to the spread not the matchup!!!!! Lets look at some stats welli think we should but according to Sean stats mean nothing and i was way off on thanksgiving yeah good call Sean!!!!!!!!! Anyway the Eagles are top 3 in the STATS points, total yardage and rushing. The only category that they struggle with is the passing game which is hard to believe but at a closer look it just means the running gmae is so powerful that Carson Wentz doesnt need to force the ball down the field. The bears are quite balanced on defense and are up there in most of the STATS categories however who have they played that can seriously affect these STATS well in the last 6 weeks they have only faced 1 team in the top 10 the saints and how did they do they lost and got a garbage time touchdown to put it within 8 when really it should have been more. Now there up against the STATISTICAL best team in the league and see blowout all over so much that i see the bears giving up by the end of the 3rd. Eagles fly over the bears EASILY
Eagles win 41-16
FOCUS FINAL THOUGHTS FOR WEEK 12:
Other notables are the Broncos +5, the titans -3 and the Ravens on MNF. Ill make a final decision tomorrow but these will be my picks. Remember i release these picks at 5:30 every Sunday so be sure to log in as i dont always remember to remind you guys. Last week 3 OUT OF 5, week 10 PERFECT, week 9 PERFECT, YOU ARE WELCOME
No other Final thoughts needed guys as its sticking to basics and my own analysis. Good luck coaches